The long drop OCR Forcast

Gerald Mullaney

16 Feb 2025

It has been a long wait, since the previous OCR rate cut late in Nov 2024. The economy is in a chock hold. by the RBNZ for good reasons, in that the RSBNZ is getting the economy back on track after going way off track from 2021 to 2024. The forecast for the economy coming back on to track is still 2026 the mild improvements from mid to late 2025.

The OCR cut for 20 Feb 2025 is a cut of 50 basis point bring the OCR to Feb 2025 to 3.75%

The previous commentary on the OCR does forecast futher cuts, this again will depend on the economy and the big one is inflation.

The long wait could well be a nice gift on the 20 Feb 2025.