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Spending and Debt = Inflation.


Reduction in spending and Debt = Recession


Creation of Debt = Growth


Govt like rising property prices as people regear there properties at the new value and then spend those funds into the economy thus boosting the economy and jobs.


However once peak asset prices have occurred the govt will change policy to correct over priced assets that time frame is usually 3 to 5 year to get back to trend in the mean time a lot of people go bankrupt.


Have we reached peak asset prices = Yes


What is the choice.


Gerald Mullaney

14 August 2025


The choice may well be to rebalance the economy away from gambling and speculation to real production of goods and services where incomes are related to what a person or country produces.


Spending cuts leads to a decrease in spending by govt and the consumer, it also may lead to a recession as growth in the real world depends on debt.

Govt have used debt govt and private to stimulate the economy thus this creates inflation

We have witnessed since 2016 America printing 26 Trillion to keep the USA out of recession and possibly the world this lead to a huge inflation in everything but mainly in assets.


This caused real estate to go up approx. 100% 2016 to 2021


These asset prices are not sustainable hence in 2025 some areas in NZ have decreased in value by up to -25%


Yes things are peaking population is declining therefore a rebalance is on the way and social welfare is in the sights.


If you bought 2021 there is the very possibility one will lose funds.


Get working or get dying.

 
 
 

Current policy has driven 35% of the population on to social welfare.

Will it Bankrupt Govt and Business.

The 2026 Budget will need to be a game changer.

Gerald Mullaney

14 August 2025

It maybe that after 60% tax on incomes including all the many taxes it maybe deemed that work does not pay.


Govt need to incentivize work and producing goods and services its needs to penalize couch sitters.


Why does work not pay it does not pay because the govt different taxes leave only enough money to pay the rent and some expenses a lot of household budgets are running at a deficit meaning they cannot pay all the weekly expenses.


Therefore what happens is that people go into debt, maybe the local pawn shop for those with no credit, credit cards with interest rates at 30%


Herein lies the road to the cliff and many people are falling over the cliff down to meet the sharks.


No wonder people are flocking and abusing social welfare.


The view is that once the govt has realigned the social policy benefits will be cut by 50% and the super will be means tested.


So if your sitting on the couch every day playing video games or on the play station you better get educated and get a job as your days are numbered


Make NZ work again

 
 
 

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